Questions for you:
- Which of the uncertainty frameworks (VUCA, BANI, RUPT, TUNA) most accurately describes my current environment?
- Do I treat uncertainty as an aberration to be eliminated, or as a fundamental condition to be navigated?
- How has my tolerance for ambiguity and unpredictability changed over time?
Questions for your organisation:
- Are we still using planning frameworks designed for predictable environments in an inherently uncertain world?
- Do we acknowledge the non-linear relationships between causes and effects in our domain?
- How do we develop organisational capabilities for navigating genuine uncertainty rather than just managing known risks?
Further reading
BANI: https://ageofbani.com/
RUPT is detailed here: https://www.ccl.org/articles/leading-effectively-articles/navigating-disruption-vuca-alternative/
